Watch Investment Guide 2026: Which Brands Will Appreciate?
Watch Investment Guide 2026: Which Brands and Models Will Appreciate? -- Comprehensive Analysis with Data
The luxury watch market experienced a sharp correction in 2023-2024 following the "pandemic bubble" of 2020-2022. Speculators withdrew from the market, prices returned to realistic levels, and by 2026, the market has matured into a stable and selective structure. According to Chrono24's ChronoPulse Watch Index data, the second-hand luxury watch market has appreciated by an average of %22.85 over the last five years -- but these gains vary dramatically by brand and model.
In this comprehensive guide, we examine which watch brands and models appreciated in value in 2026, which ones depreciated, what to pay attention to when investing, and the investment potential of the models in our second-hand collection at Gazelli Saat -- in detail with current market data.
Second-Hand Luxury Collection at Gazelli Saat
Rolex, Cartier, Omega, Hublot, and Ulysse Nardin -- all original, boxed, and certified. Contact us for pricing.
2026 Second-Hand Watch Market: The Big Picture
According to Chrono24's first half report for 2025, significant changes are occurring in the second-hand luxury watch market:
| Indicator | Status (2025-2026) |
|---|---|
| Overall market | Normalization post-pandemic completed -- stable, selective growth |
| Top appreciating brands (5 years) | Audemars Piguet, Vacheron Constantin, Cartier (+%39), Patek Philippe, Omega (+%28) |
| Rolex position | Still the market leader (%34 market share), but has declined from pandemic peak -- stable growth continues |
| Cartier rise | Driven by Gen Z influence |
| Brands losing value (5 years) | Hublot (-%3), Tudor (-%9.5), Panerai (-%17) |
| Trend | Shift from steel sports watches to "quiet luxury" and slim dress watches |
BRAND ANALYSIS 1: Rolex -- Undisputed Market Leader
Rolex is the undisputed king of the second-hand market -- the most traded brand with a %34 market share. It has gained +%27.59 in value over the last five years. However, since the peak in 2022, 56% of models are trading above retail price, while the rest have fallen below retail.
Rolex Models at Gazelli Saat and Investment Analysis
| Model | Feature | Investment Potential | Why? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex GMT-Master II "Pepsi" | Blue-red Cerachrom bezel, steel, Jubilee bracelet | High | The most iconic GMT variant -- constant demand, waiting lists spanning years. Expected value increase of %3-5 in 2025 |
| Rolex GMT-Master II "Batman/Batgirl" | Black-blue Cerachrom bezel, steel (2 available) | High | The second most popular GMT variant after Pepsi -- regular demand, strong value retention |
| Rolex Submariner "Starbucks" | Green Cerachrom bezel, black dial, steel, 300m | Very high | 126610LV -- the most premium Submariner variant. Trading %20-30 above retail price |
| Rolex Datejust 36mm | Two-tone (steel + gold), blue dial, Jubilee | Medium-High | 36mm models are on the rise due to the retro trend -- vintage aesthetic, fitting the "quiet luxury" movement |
| Rolex Datejust 41mm Jubilee | Steel, blue dial, Jubilee bracelet (2 available) | Medium | Modern classic -- strong value retention, but the highest premiums are in sports models |
Rolex summary: The Rolex collection at Gazelli Saat is the most liquid and safest in the market.
consists of investment models. GMT-Master II Pepsi, Batman, and Submariner Starbucks are among the models still trading above retail price in 2026.
BRAND ANALYSIS 2: Cartier -- The Star of 2026
According to Chrono24 data, Cartier has appeared in the top 10 list of the most profitable models four times in the last five years, gaining +39.06% in value -- even more than Rolex. According to the Bloomberg Subdial Watch Index, Cartier has been the only major brand to gain value in 2024-2025 (+2.4% annually). The demand for "quiet luxury" and fine dress watches among Gen Z has made Cartier's Santos and Panthère collections stars.
Cartier Models and Investment Analysis at Gazelli Saat
| Model | Feature | Investment Potential | Why? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cartier Santos de Cartier (3 pieces) | Steel, two-tone and gold variants, square case, QuickSwitch strap | Very high | Cartier Santos ranks 1st and 2nd in Chrono24's most profitable model list. Projected value increase of 9-15% in 2025. Second-hand prices can reach up to twice the retail price |
| Cartier Panthère (2 pieces) | Small and medium size, steel and two-tone, Art Deco aesthetic | High | Exploding demand among Gen Z and female collectors. The emblematic model of the "quiet luxury" trend. Cartier demand on Chrono24 has increased by 4 times |
Cartier summary: The 5 Cartier models at Gazelli Saat represent the segment with the strongest value appreciation potential in the 2026 market. Santos is considered the new "blue chip" of the watch investment world -- and finding these models in Antalya is a rare opportunity.
BRAND ANALYSIS 3: Omega -- The Name of Steady Growth
Omega has gained +27.81% in value over the last five years and holds the second largest market share in the second-hand market. It is one of the brands least affected by speculative fluctuations -- it has not experienced sharp declines due to not having "hype." Speedmaster Professional (Moonwatch)
Models like the Silver Snoopy Award are in constant demand.
Omega Model at Gazelli Saat
| Model | Feature | Investment Potential | Why? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omega Speedmaster Dark Side of the Moon | Ceramic case, chronograph, Co-Axial movement, black monochrome design | High | Premium member of the Speedmaster family. High production cost due to ceramic case, limited supply. Combination of Moonwatch heritage + modern technology. Annual stable value increase of %8-10 |
Omega summary: Speedmaster DSOTM is ideal for the "risk-averse investor" profile. High liquidity (easily bought and sold), strong brand heritage (NASA, first watch on the Moon) and stable growth.
BRAND ANALYSIS 4: Hublot -- Cautious Approach
According to Chrono24 data, Hublot has lost -%2.99 in value over the last five years. This does not mean Hublot is a bad brand -- however, it requires a cautious approach when evaluated as an investment tool. Hublot's "fusion" philosophy (combining different materials) and bold designs appeal to a specific fan base but have not reached a broad collector base.
Hublot Model at Gazelli Saat
| Model | Feature | Investment Note |
|---|---|---|
| Hublot Classic Fusion Automatic | Steel case, automatic movement, leather strap, 42mm | Classic Fusion is Hublot's most "timeless" collection -- moving away from the aggressiveness of Big Bang, more classic. It is more accurate to evaluate it for use and enjoyment rather than for investment purposes. |
BRAND ANALYSIS 5: Ulysse Nardin -- The Power of Independent Watchmaking
Ulysse Nardin is a prestigious Swiss watchmaking house known for its marine chronometers since 1846. The brand's Marine collection, part of the Kering Group, is recognized for its iconic designs inspired by historical marine chronometers.
Independent watchmaking brands (such as F.P. Journe, A. Lange & Söhne, Ulysse Nardin) are increasingly attracting interest among collectors due to their limited productions.
Ulysse Nardin Models at Gazelli Watch
| Model | Feature | Investment Note |
|---|---|---|
| Ulysse Nardin Marine Chronometer | Gold case, white dial, Roman numerals, automatic | Gold case, supported by precious metal value. The Marine Chronometer is the brand's "flagship" model -- its maritime heritage provides a strong storytelling |
| Ulysse Nardin Marine Torpilleur | Steel case, dark dial, modern interpretation | A more accessible entry point. The name Torpilleur ("torpedo boat") strongly references maritime heritage. Limited production advantage |
Value Appreciation Ranking: 5-Year Brand Performance
| Rank | Brand | 5-Year Value Change | Available at Gazelli? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Audemars Piguet | Highest increase | No |
| 2 | Vacheron Constantin | +%52.27 | No |
| 3 | Cartier | +%39.06 | Yes -- 5 models |
| 4 | Patek Philippe | +%33.59 | No |
| 5 | Omega | +%27.81 | Yes -- 1 model |
| 6 | Rolex | +%27.59 | Yes -- 7 models |
| -- | Hublot | -%2.99 | Yes -- 1 model |
10 Golden Rules of Watch Investment
| # | Rule | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brand Prestige | Rolex, Patek Philippe, Audemars Piguet, Cartier, Omega -- brands with a proven history of value retention |
| 2 | Box and Papers | Watches with a "full set" (original box + warranty card + invoice) are 10-20% more valuable than those without |
| 3 | Original Condition | Aftermarket modifications (dial, hands, bezel) decrease value -- original parts are essential |
| 4 | Steel Sports Models | Historically the segment that has gained the most value: Submariner, Daytona, Royal Oak, Nautilus, Santos |
| 5 | Discontinued Models | "Discontinued" models have limited supply -- as supply decreases, demand may increase |
| 6 | Patience | Minimum 5-year holding strategy -- short-term speculation often fails |
| 7 | Reliable Source | Buy from an authorized dealer or a trusted second-hand seller -- the risk of counterfeiting is very high |
| 8 | Market Research | Examine price history on WatchCharts, Chrono24, and Watchfinder |
| 9 | Diversification | Do not invest your entire budget in a single model -- having 2-3 models from different brands is safer |
| 10 | Enjoyment Factor | Get a watch you love -- even if it doesn't yield investment returns, you should be able to enjoy wearing it |
Investment or Expense? Realistic Expectations
| Advantage | Risk | |
|---|---|---|
| Selected models have historically shown a 5-15% annual increase in value | In the 2022-2023 correction, some models lost 20-30% of their value | |
| CHF-based pricing, against TL | doğal koruma sağlar | Liquidity is limited -- cannot be sold as easily as stocks or gold |
| Physical asset: can be worn, can be passed down | Maintenance costs are high (3,000-10,000 TL service every 5 years) | |
| Inflation and currency protection | Risk of counterfeiting -- high likelihood of being scammed (especially in individual sales) | |
| Emotional value: daily enjoyment, heirloom potential | Trends can change: today's "hot model" may cool off tomorrow |
Gazelli Watch Second Hand Collection: Complete Inventory
| Brand | Model | Feature | 5-Year Brand Performance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex | GMT-Master II "Pepsi" | Blue-red Cerachrom, steel, Jubilee | +%27.59 |
| Rolex | GMT-Master II "Batman" | Black-blue Cerachrom, steel (2 pieces) | |
| Rolex | Submariner "Starbucks" | Green bezel, black dial, steel, 300m | |
| Rolex | Datejust 36mm | Two-tone, blue dial, Jubilee | |
| Rolex | Datejust 41mm (×2) | Steel, blue dial, Jubilee | |
| Cartier | Santos de Cartier (×3) | Steel, two-tone, gold variants | +%39.06 |
| Cartier | Panthère (×2) | Small and medium size, steel and two-tone | |
| Omega | Speedmaster DSOTM | Ceramic case, chronograph, Co-Axial | +%27.81 |
| Hublot | Classic Fusion Auto | Steel, automatic, leather strap | -%2.99 |
| Ulysse Nardin | Marine Chronometer | Gold case, white dial, automatic | Niche -- limited production advantage |
| Ulysse Nardin | Marine Torpilleur | Steel case, dark dial, automatic |
In-Depth Model Analysis: Stars of the Gazelli Collection
Rolex GMT-Master II "Pepsi" -- AviationIcon of Its Legacy
Designed in 1955 for Pan American Airways pilots, the GMT-Master has become an inseparable part of aviation history with its ability to display two different time zones simultaneously. The blue-red "Pepsi" bezel combination was designed to distinguish between day and night hours -- blue for night, red for day. This functional design decision has become one of the most recognized aesthetic elements in the watch world over time.
The GMT-Master II Pepsi at Gazelli Saat features a modern Cerachrom ceramic bezel -- it is fade-resistant, scratch-resistant, and unaffected by UV rays. Offered with a Jubilee bracelet, this model is one of Rolex's most sought-after variants. Waiting lists at authorized dealers can reach 3-5 years.
Rolex Submariner "Starbucks" -- The Green Face of the Diver Legend
The Submariner with reference 126610LV has earned the nickname "Starbucks" due to its green ceramic bezel and black dial. With a water resistance of 300 meters, a 70-hour power reserve, and equipped with Rolex's own Calibre 3235 movement, it is a remarkable timepiece. The fact that it consistently trades at 20-30% above its retail price is a tangible indication of this model's investment potential.
Cartier Santos de Cartier -- The First Wristwatch in Watchmaking History
The story of the Cartier Santos marks the beginning of wristwatch history. In 1904, Louis Cartier designed a watch for his aviator friend Alberto Santos-Dumont -- a watch that could be worn on the wrist since checking a pocket watch during flight was impossible. This was the first modern wristwatch in history. 120 years later, the Santos continues to be Cartier's most iconic and appreciated model.
According to Chrono24's long-term analysis, the Santos occupies the top two spots on the list of the most profitable watch models. Some Santos variants have doubled in value within five years. The availability of three different Santos variants at Gazelli Saat -- steel, two-tone, and gold -- presents a serious investment and collection opportunity.
Cartier Panthère -- The Symbol of "Quiet Luxury"
The Panthère is a delicate dress watch introduced in 1983 that elegantly interprets Art Deco aesthetics. With the "quiet luxury" trend of Gen Z, the demand for the Panthère has quadrupled in the last three years. Its unisex appeal attracts both male and female collectors, making this model one of the most dynamic segments of the market.
has been transformed into one.
Omega Speedmaster Dark Side of the Moon -- Space Heritage, Modern Technology
The Speedmaster, worn by Buzz Aldrin when he stepped on the Moon in 1969, is one of the most important models in watch history. The Dark Side of the Moon version reinterprets this heritage with a fully ceramic case -- lightweight, scratch-resistant, and visually dramatic. The Co-Axial mechanism offers less friction and longer service intervals compared to traditional escapements.
Market Trends: What is Changing in 2026?
| Trend | Description | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| The Rise of "Quiet Luxury" | Subtle, elegant dress watches are surpassing steel sports watches | Strong value increase for Cartier and Vacheron Constantin |
| Gen Z Influence | Buyers aged 18-30 are transforming the market -- design-focused, brand story is important | Cartier demand increased 4x, explosion of interest in vintage models |
| Speculators Withdraw | The "flip" culture of 2020-2022 has ended -- only true collectors remain | More stable, sustainable prices |
| Gold Price Impact | Gold prices are on the rise -- intrinsic value of gold-cased watches is increasing | Gold Day-Date, gold Santos, and gold Ulysse Nardin are advantageous |
| Retail Price Increases | Rolex implemented an average retail price increase of %3-4 in 2026 | "Floor price" is rising in the second-hand market |
Portfolio Strategies: How to Start?
Strategy 1: Safe Haven (Low Risk)
Start with a Rolex Submariner or Datejust. These models are the most liquid, have the broadest buyer base, and have historically shown the most stable value increase. Always look for the "full set" condition.
Strategy 2: Growth-Oriented (Medium Risk)
Position yourself with a Cartier Santos or Panthère. Over the last five years, there has been a +%39 brand-based value increase and Gen Z's demand for "quiet luxury" -- Cartier's growth potential is still
strong.
Strategy 3: Diversified Portfolio (Balanced)
Create a portfolio with 2-3 models from multiple brands. For example: 1 Rolex sports model + 1 Cartier dress watch + 1 Omega chronograph. This approach distributes brand-based risks.
Things to Consider When Buying Second-Hand Watches
| Check Point | Why Is It Important? |
|---|---|
| Authenticity confirmation | The counterfeit watch market is highly developed -- especially for Rolex and Cartier, the risk of "super replica" is high |
| Box and papers (Full Set) | Watches with original box + warranty card + invoice are 10-20% more valuable |
| Service history | When was the last service done? Has it been serviced by an authorized service? |
| Original parts | Aftermarket dial, hands, or bezel changes significantly decrease value |
| Case condition | Over-polished cases may have lost their original form |
| Water resistance test | Always have a water resistance test done after purchasing a second-hand watch |
| Price research | Compare the current prices of the same reference on Chrono24, WatchCharts, and Watchfinder |
Buying Second-Hand Luxury Watches in Antalya
Antalya is one of Turkey's most dynamic luxury consumption markets -- international tourism, a high-income resident population, and a growing business world keep the demand for luxury watches consistently alive.
Reliable source is essential: There is a high risk of counterfeiting in tourist areas like Kaleiçi, Lara, and Kemer. Definitely stay away from social media sellers.
Gazelli Saat advantage: Gazelli Saat, in addition to being an authorized dealer of Tissot in Antalya, offers second-hand models of prestigious brands such as Rolex, Cartier, Omega, Hublot, and Ulysse Nardin -- original, boxed, and with papers. You can personally see the watch in the physical store.
You have the opportunity to receive reviews, trials, and expert consultancy.
Antalya lifestyle and watches: Antalya's lifestyle, focused on sea, sun, and social life, highlights durable and sporty models. The Rolex Submariner's 300 meters of water resistance, the Cartier Santos' QuickSwitch strap system, and the Omega Speedmaster's scratch-resistant ceramic case -- all of these perfectly align with the Antalya lifestyle.
Watch Investment Glossary
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| Full Set | Sale of the watch with its original box, warranty card, and invoice. Increases value by 10-20% |
| Premium | When the second-hand price exceeds the retail price |
| Reference (Ref.) | A unique number assigned to each model. For example: 126610LV = Submariner Date green bezel |
| Discontinued | A model that has been discontinued. May increase in value over time due to limited supply |
| Manufacture movement | A movement developed and produced by the brand itself -- increases prestige and value |
| Cerachrom | Rolex's patented ceramic bezel technology -- scratch-resistant, fade-resistant |
| Co-Axial | Omega's patented escapement -- less friction, longer service intervals |
| QuickSwitch | A strap changing system on the Cartier Santos that does not require tools |
| Oystersteel (904L) | Rolex's special steel alloy -- harder and more corrosion-resistant than standard 316L |
| Liquidity | How easily an asset can be converted to cash |
| CAGR | Compound annual growth rate -- measures the annual average value increase of an investment |
| ChronoPulse Index | Chrono24's secondel watch price index |
Common Myths and Facts
| Myth | Fact |
|---|---|
| "Every Rolex appreciates in value" | No. 56% of models are trading above retail, 44% below retail |
| "Watch investment guarantees returns" | No. Many models lost 20-30% of their value in 2022-2023 |
| "Gold watches are always more valuable" | Steel sports models often show higher premiums than gold versions |
| "Only Rolex is suitable for investment" | Cartier (+39%) and Vacheron Constantin (+52%) have outperformed Rolex (+28%) in the last five years |
| "Second-hand watches are risky" | A certified second-hand watch purchased from a reliable seller is extremely safe |
| "A large budget is required" | One can start with relatively accessible prices for Omega or older Datejust |
Frequently Asked Questions
| Question | Answer |
|---|---|
| Which watch investment is the safest? | Rolex steel sports models (Submariner, GMT-Master, Daytona) have historically shown the most stable value increase |
| Which brand will appreciate the most in 2026? | According to Chrono24 data, Cartier is one of the brands with the strongest performance in the last five years at +39% |
| Is Hublot suitable for investment? | Hublot has lost -3% in value over the last five years. Excellent for enjoyment, risky as an investment |
| What is the most important criterion when buying a second-hand watch? | "Full set" (box + papers + invoice) and original condition -- aftermarket modifications decrease value |
| Are the second-hand watches at Gazelli Saat original? | Yes -- all our second-hand watches are original,kutulu ve belgeli olarak sunulmaktadır |
| How can I get price information? | You can get current price information via WhatsApp or by visiting our store |
Accessible Entry to Swiss Watchmaking with Tissot
If investing in a second-hand luxury watch requires a serious budget and you say, "I want to experience true Swiss watchmaking but I can't spend hundreds of thousands of TL," you can own a Tissot watch that is brand new, guaranteed, and 100% original at much more accessible prices. Sapphire crystal glass, Swiss movement, 300 meters water resistance, and an automatic movement with an 80-hour power reserve -- all this is possible with Tissot.
Get Information About the Second Hand Collection via WhatsApp
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